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13 April 2015

The below Maples Capital Fixed Income Commentary discusses the market's interpretation  of the latest Federal Reserve press release.
The highlights of this report are the following:

  • Interest rate suppression will still end, but the start date has been pushed out and many now believe the process will take longer than originally expected.

  • The Federal Reserve has clearly stated its desire to begin raising short-term rates in 2015, although it is becoming increasing difficult to do so in the near term. Maples Capital continue to believe the Fed will not be able to act as aggressively as it would like, and interest rates will remain lower, and for longer, than the consensus view.

  • The prospect of slower growth and corresponding lower rates signaled the dollar’s recent rise may have been over-done and it subsequently fell from its rent highs.

  • While growth has been stronger than expected in the past few months, there are several recent data points that suggest this trend may be vulnerable in the months ahead.


Maples Capital April 2015 Fixed Income Report